tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20142791.post4213101172225066811..comments2024-03-11T07:41:19.149-04:00Comments on The Perfect Substitute: 2010 Gus Rankings: Week 5Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20142791.post-31675677833851620592010-10-13T12:27:06.563-04:002010-10-13T12:27:06.563-04:00Can I persuade you to post the Week 6 rankings? I...Can I persuade you to post the Week 6 rankings? I'm hoping to use them to spice up a boring work training I've got to give at noon mountain.siredgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17896368613135890268noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20142791.post-33606687747082356622010-10-07T17:12:39.009-04:002010-10-07T17:12:39.009-04:00Have you considered adding the conference best, av...Have you considered adding the conference best, average, median, and worst rankings each week?siredgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17896368613135890268noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20142791.post-16072093109491409522010-10-06T11:46:06.761-04:002010-10-06T11:46:06.761-04:00Gus is actually fairly proficient at picking games...Gus is actually fairly proficient at picking games; using the Sagarin rankings as a control, Gus reaches approximately that level by about Week 7 or Week 8, and (if I remember correctly) outperformed Sagarin during the bowl season.<br /><br />Any objective ranking system, however, can only use past information to predict future performance. Issues of what to adjust for and exactly how to adjust introduce some subjectivity to the process.Matt E. Ryanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00290146649328322694noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-20142791.post-10862062721604459122010-10-05T16:19:05.258-04:002010-10-05T16:19:05.258-04:00I think people use rankings for two major purposes...I think people use rankings for two major purposes that are very different: a summary of past performance and a prediction of future performance. It seems clear that Gus rankings are primarily for summarizing past performance, but what adjustments would be necessary to make it useful for predicting future performance? One suggestion I heard was to adjust for major injury (ie Michigan if their QB gets injured). Any other thoughts?siredgehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17896368613135890268noreply@blogger.com