Saturday, February 11, 2012
Friday, February 03, 2012
Propapalooza V
We're running up against it, time-wise, but nonetheless, it's time for this year's Super Bowl prop battle. You can check out Propapaloozas I, II, III, and IV if you so desire. Like Kim Jong-il and his North Korean soccer squad, I've won every single Propapalooza by a score of 432-1.
You can find this year's props here.
Generally, longtime TPS supporter Rob Holub and I go toe-to-toe, though you are more than welcome to take your five and post them in the comments (paging Will Luther). The general idea is to take bets that are roughly 50/50 in nature (or worse-- that means you want to be finding any line around -120 or higher.) Thus, feel free to take the Giants giving 10.5 to the Patriots at +475...but taking the Patriots on the flip side of that wager at -750 isn't fair game. Winner is who hits the most of their 5!
Matt's picks:
Will first kickoff of Super Bowl XLVI result in a touchback - No: +115
Will the game be tied after 0-0 - Yes: Even (+/-100)
Stephen Gostkowski - Total Field Goals Made 1.5 - Over: -105
Big 10 team points (-63.5) vs. Tom Brady passing yards: -115
Victor Cruz - Will he score a TD? - Yes: +120
Rob's picks:
- Team to score first - New York Giants: -115
- New England rushing yards 102.5 - Under: -115
- Tom Brady 4th Q TD pass – Yes: -115
- Aaron Hernandez over 5.5 receptions: -115
- LeBron James points/rebs/assists (-3.5) vs. Deion Branch rec yards: -115
As an aside, the novelty props are always enjoyable. I don't believe there is a linkable pdf for the novelty props, but if you click here and then find "Novelty Props" in the right column, there's a whole section of fun things to wager on. Some of my favorites:
- Kelly Clarkson - How Long Will it Take Her to Sing the National Anthem (From first note starts until she completes saying Brave), over/under 1:35. I think that's a bit long-- last year, Christina Aguilera sang the national anthem and I'd say she has a tendency to lengthen it out. I say Clarkson keeps it crisp. Under.
- Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game Thank First:
Coaches/Owner +400
You can find this year's props here.
Generally, longtime TPS supporter Rob Holub and I go toe-to-toe, though you are more than welcome to take your five and post them in the comments (paging Will Luther). The general idea is to take bets that are roughly 50/50 in nature (or worse-- that means you want to be finding any line around -120 or higher.) Thus, feel free to take the Giants giving 10.5 to the Patriots at +475...but taking the Patriots on the flip side of that wager at -750 isn't fair game. Winner is who hits the most of their 5!
Matt's picks:
Will first kickoff of Super Bowl XLVI result in a touchback - No: +115
Will the game be tied after 0-0 - Yes: Even (+/-100)
Stephen Gostkowski - Total Field Goals Made 1.5 - Over: -105
Big 10 team points (-63.5) vs. Tom Brady passing yards: -115
Victor Cruz - Will he score a TD? - Yes: +120
Rob's picks:
- Team to score first - New York Giants: -115
- New England rushing yards 102.5 - Under: -115
- Tom Brady 4th Q TD pass – Yes: -115
- Aaron Hernandez over 5.5 receptions: -115
- LeBron James points/rebs/assists (-3.5) vs. Deion Branch rec yards: -115
As an aside, the novelty props are always enjoyable. I don't believe there is a linkable pdf for the novelty props, but if you click here and then find "Novelty Props" in the right column, there's a whole section of fun things to wager on. Some of my favorites:
- Kelly Clarkson - How Long Will it Take Her to Sing the National Anthem (From first note starts until she completes saying Brave), over/under 1:35. I think that's a bit long-- last year, Christina Aguilera sang the national anthem and I'd say she has a tendency to lengthen it out. I say Clarkson keeps it crisp. Under.
- Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game Thank First:
Coaches/Owner +400
Family +500
God +125
Teammates +200
I think there's a large chance that either Tom Brady or Eli Manning end up at the MVP here. And I think both of them go right for the teammates first. Teammates, +200. Great value here in my opinion.
- What Color will the Gatorade (or Liquid) be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Team:
Blue +1000
Clear/Water even
Lime Green +550
Orange +250
Red +800
Yellow +200
It could be a crapshoot, certainly, and maybe I'm looking too much into it...but aren't both teams prominently blue and red? And who drinks blue Gatorade? Red at 8:1...similarly great value here.
I think there's a large chance that either Tom Brady or Eli Manning end up at the MVP here. And I think both of them go right for the teammates first. Teammates, +200. Great value here in my opinion.
- What Color will the Gatorade (or Liquid) be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Team:
Blue +1000
Clear/Water even
Lime Green +550
Orange +250
Red +800
Yellow +200
It could be a crapshoot, certainly, and maybe I'm looking too much into it...but aren't both teams prominently blue and red? And who drinks blue Gatorade? Red at 8:1...similarly great value here.
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