Tuesday, December 07, 2010

2010 Gus Rankings: Week 14

Army/Navy notwithstanding, here are the final regular season Gus Rankings.

Now that the season is done, had the Gus Rankings been used as the sole measure of determining the BCS Bowls (and bowls choose the highest ranked team possible when their turn comes up), we'd have the following lineup:

National Championship Game: Auburn vs. Oklahoma
Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Ohio State
Sugar Bowl: TCU vs. Michigan State
Fiesta Bowl: Boise State vs. Connecticut
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Arkansas/Missouri

Arkansas and Missouri are tied, so one of them would claim the Orange Bowl slot.


siredge said...

What are your thoughts on making an adjustment for contests that finish as a tie in regulation? Maybe reduce the points awarded or penalized to each of the two teams?

Matt E. Ryan said...

I think it's conceivable to tinker with the process on a number of margins, but then we get into the mode of engineering a ranking that fits our perceptions of what we think it should look like. The best part about the Gus Rankings is its plain objectivity; a win is a win and a loss is a loss. My feeling of how the rankings should look differs from Art Carden's, differs from Bob Lawson's, differs from every other college football fan out there-- I hesitate to modify an objectively defensible ranking system to have it look a little more to my individual liking.

That's the theory end of it-- in predictive power, though I did not follow along week by week as I did last year, once 5-6 weeks have passed, the Gus Rankings are basically a push with other more complex ranking schemes. I think this speaks volumes about the valued added to ranking systems that purport to control for every conceivable characteristic under the sun. In the end, a framework like the Gus Rankings captures the (large) majority of pertinent information to be aggregated in college football.

Also-- I've appreciated your input throughout the season. Thanks for taking the time to further the discussion. I-- and the rest of us here-- are easy enough to get a hold of, so feel free to drop me a line if you'd like to chat more about it.

Anonymous said...

I am glad you said that?!