Tuesday, September 23, 2008

A new solution to stock market woes: Get rid of Congress!

Tom and Dana Johnson send along this bit concerning the Singer Congressional Fund. The idea is straight-forward-- the market performs worse when Congress is in session, so invest accordingly. Though I guess short-selling can't be part of the strategy anymore.

Here is a background of how the fund got started. It mentions a paper by Michael Ferguson and Hugh Douglas Witte that look at the "Congressional Effect." These are some pretty heavy lines:

"Since 1897, the year after the Dow was created, an impressive 90 percent of gains came on days when Congress was out. [Ferguson and Witte's] charts show that a dollar invested in 1897 that was converted to cash every time Congress met was worth $216 by 2000. The opposite strategy — investing only when they were in session — only got you $2 by 2000."

Here's another bit on the fund.

The Singer Congressional Fund gets the TPS Seal of Approval.

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