Suppose they took this information with them to the betting market, which I understand the proposal was going to be small bets around $10 made by those in the CIA and Pentagon. They can't speak up to their superior's for whatever reason, but they are able to anonymously (to their superiors) buy and sell shares on the following stocks:
- Weapons of Mass Destruction will be found In Iraq by (dd/mm/yyyy).
- U.S. military will be able to exit Iraq within X years of occupation.
- Total cost of U.S. military expenditures on Iraq will be under $100 million in 3 years.
- Iraq will hold a formal national democratic election by (dd/mm/yyyy).
Pure speculation, I know. I like how this speculation has a "Robin Hanson saves the world" ring to it. Ironically, it was an idea killed by those same people who berate Bush & Company for ignoring evidence from their intelligence agencies, or at least not passing that info along.